Game Theory: Did Dream FAKE His Speedrun? A Final Analysis.

The Game Theorists
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There has been a controversy brewing on the Minecraft side of TRvid centered around well known Minecraft creator Dream. He's been accused of faking his speedrun and it has caused a lot of stir. I'm not here to point fingers or accuse anyone. What I'm doing today, Theorists, is going over the facts of this situation and why it is a lot more complicated than people are making it out to be.
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Writers: Matthew Patrick and Justin Kuiper
Editors: Dan "Cybert" Seibert, Alex "Sedge" Sedgwick, Forrest Lee, Tyler Mascola, and Koen Verhagen
Assistant Editor: AlyssaBeCrazy
Sound Editor: Yosi Berman




17 Jan 2021




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Honshu :]
Honshu :] 42 dakika önce
I think we all forget what kind of channel Matpat has, he is a Theorist. Yes, he is a good theorist but everybody isn’t always right. Maybe he did cheat, maybe he did not. Your all in the comments talking about how he dodged the question but really he’s literally just doing what he normally does. Yet you don’t say this when he makes different themes such as FNAF and other DDLC? Yet nobody from these games have stood up to things such as this? Why say all of this now because it’s a TRvidr and not a game of which you can’t say to somebody’s face? Yes, it is basically click bait but what isn’t? My god people it’s 2021, click bait is everywhere right under your noses! Not even just on youtube and even I think you know that. Go ahead, comment down how wrong I am but you can’t deny that this is suspicious and seems acted. Yeah, he might be right but he isn’t a mind reader, the only person who knows whether they cheated or not is Dream. I wonder why it’s always the TRvidr’s fault and not the game/game developers? 1.16 just came out when this event took place so their is bound to be bugs. But that still doesn’t mean Dream is off the hook and neither is MatPat. But remember, at the end of the day it’s just a theory everybody. :) (Please debate about this in the comments, I wanna see all of opinions on this :D)
Oda Siam
Oda Siam Saatler önce
This channel helped me learn more than my class lol
Zack Pumpkinhead
Zack Pumpkinhead 2 saatler önce
8:36 THEY"RE BOTH THE SAME! HA! Sorry so many comments. I'll do less next time
Zack Pumpkinhead
Zack Pumpkinhead 2 saatler önce
1:46 Warzone... huh? Have you heard of... 2b2t?
Matthew Hogan
Matthew Hogan 3 saatler önce
Livie Noelle
Livie Noelle 4 saatler önce
conclusion: the speedrunning team is jealous
Hayden Y
Hayden Y 3 saatler önce
kat h
kat h 4 saatler önce
Pls he would be such a cool and good teacher
Hayden Y
Hayden Y 3 saatler önce
Glad Bros Entertainment
Glad Bros Entertainment 4 saatler önce
7 times
Dr. Rocker
Dr. Rocker 4 saatler önce
Matpat is such a wuss the only reason he won’t say he is cheating is because he is scared to lose his kid subscribers but don’t you see Matpat your subscribers have now grown up dot. Be afraid to say he cheated
Rainbow Pummmkins
Rainbow Pummmkins 4 saatler önce
Mat pls tell me pls!
James7 6 saatler önce
I can smell the dream stan dislike this video.
RaisinTree 7 saatler önce
hope you all have a nice week, wanted to let you know that Jesus loves you and died for you. you might think of this as annoying and you’ve seen it a lot, but it’s more than that. those who share this are happy with Christ and believe in eternal life and happiness. they want you to be a part of that too, and so do i. you can have your own opinion and i respect it and you can ignore this and that’s fine. stay safe. i believe in you. in whatever you want to do. God has not left you, and never will. again, Jesus Christ loves you so much. He is willing to heal you and anyone else no matter what they’ve done. He has died for us and proved that He is the Christ, Savior, and Protector. God heals us, even though we are wicked. think about that. may we not be ashamed to share His word, for He was not ashamed of us.
Brandon Morehouse
Brandon Morehouse 6 saatler önce
I would like to say the youtube comments are not the beat place for this kind of a statement
Dragon Fire
Dragon Fire 7 saatler önce
Ppl are knocking matpat for not really answering, but he did give a more complex view of both arguments, and I don’t think that’s nothing.
a channel
a channel 8 saatler önce
my view I don't think he cheated he clearly got a higher drop rate then normal but odds are just odds. The drop rate for endermen dropping ender pearls is around 50% of course that doesn't mean you're going to consistently drop 5 ender pearls for every 10 endermen its possible to kill 1000 endermen and them drop no enderpearl just its very very unlikely I dont know the probability percentage i imagine its extremely low but still not impossible.
bestofyosuke 12 saatler önce
When he started talking about the luck of the item drops, I just thought "so no one here has played a gacha game then" because the luck I've seen some people have by accident is ridiculous, versus some people who whale on them and don't get nearly as lucky (hence the whaling)
JamFoxxy 13 saatler önce
Mans pulled a Ranboo and didn't choose sides
FreesmartBros2007 15 saatler önce
2:21 relatable ;-;
AncientAmber YT
AncientAmber YT 15 saatler önce
Ah yes, clickbait
Brandon Morehouse
Brandon Morehouse 6 saatler önce
Well yes but actually no
K'Sean Richardson
K'Sean Richardson 17 saatler önce
I thought condoms when u said latex, but i noticed the quadratic formula short after 😂. What am i?
DONT wamt
DONT wamt 19 saatler önce
So everyone's hating matpat here because he doesnt know something? Makes sense
Out by the Water in Cape May
So... He did? Because any Dream stans that disagree better bend over.
•peachs bunzs ôwø•
•peachs bunzs ôwø• 20 saatler önce
help me with me math pls
ENO 20 saatler önce
İmagine dream commenting
Ariel Flores
Ariel Flores 22 saatler önce
I think 100 times
Zain Huda
Zain Huda 23 saatler önce
The real problem is that profesional mathmeticians and scientists can spend hours of time just to debunk a minecraft speedrun... Do they really not have anything better to do with their life??
Dream the animator
Dream the animator 23 saatler önce
chrichu Gün önce
Some people took this video the wrong way bc there are quite a lot of dislikes
Its funny bc they're talking about high luck but there was a game my dad played and literally got a 0.01% chance weapon 5 time in a row (DFFOO)
Jamie Brophy
Jamie Brophy Gün önce
raystrashcan Gün önce
Sir, I seem to be missing an answer in this video
Juliet Torres
Juliet Torres Gün önce
Coin ten times
lars thememelord
lars thememelord Gün önce
for anyone who’s angry about lack of an answer it says FINAL ANALYISIS NOT FINAL ANSWER
Vanja Nenadović
Vanja Nenadović Gün önce
Yeah, you can say that it's 69.2 percent, but if people didn't watch other people's videos, that is 8.8 x 10 to the power of MINUS 12. That is(near) one in a 8800000000000 chance of getting JUST the blaze rods. Including ender pearls, which are (again near) one in 5600000000000 chance, then yeah. And both of them together, are (near) 1 in 2000000000000000000000 chance of getting them.
עדי קרימר
I don’t trust Dream He’s cheating I hate him!
Brandon Morehouse
Brandon Morehouse 6 saatler önce
I don’t think you should hate him.
MegaMathew75 Gün önce
ailey Gün önce
I wish matpat was my math teacher
Djd250 Gün önce
is p hacking hacking wile ur peeing?
W Aliff Naufal W M Syuhaidi
Ohh well did you know in one of dreams speedrun when he placed the boats in mid air actually there were barriers and there were barriers in the other speedrun when he placed boats in the lava there were barriers because how can he place things in mid air I tried it to and do all his hacks and a failure so he’s fake speedrunning
Brandon Morehouse
Brandon Morehouse 5 saatler önce
That makes no sense, and i agree with your final statement. Your explanation just doesn’t work
did dream fake it? heres the time 23:29
Anicka Amaefule
Anicka Amaefule Gün önce
Wait, did dream cheat or not?
Anicka Amaefule
Anicka Amaefule Gün önce
I guess the 100 thingy option because if you take away the one zero each from sixty and hundred you can see that that's right. Yes I'm THIS bad at explaining I watched the video and I think I were wrong. I didn't really understand sooo. Have a great life
Levi Crosby
Levi Crosby Gün önce
I have no idea what Matpat says every video I watch but that has yet to stop me from watching them
Benny Windipo
Benny Windipo Gün önce
Matpat has really gone downhill.....
Meba Gün önce
Man this is hella annoying. Just say he's wrong or shill for him goddamit
The lord
The lord 2 gün önce
Anybody else noticed mr.beast😂
Eldudio 14
Eldudio 14 2 gün önce
You can tell mat came to the conclusion he cheated but didn’t wanna say it cuz of the stans
• Møno •
• Møno • 2 gün önce
The answer is... Nothing hahahaha
Sarcasm 2 gün önce
This is over a bunch of Minecraft pixels, a video game...
Bottom Text
Bottom Text Gün önce
Yes because things that happen on the internet have no effect on the real world
Matt Sweeney
Matt Sweeney 2 gün önce
Twitch Rivals did competitive minecraft bingo. it was great.
alex manley
alex manley 2 gün önce
60 out of 100
The Oshawott King
The Oshawott King 2 gün önce
I dont hate Dream and i do find some of his vids fun to watch, but i did knew that it wasnt a smart decision to fight against the Minecraft speedrun mod team. There have been alot of cheating investigations in the past with other games and the people who expose speedrunners for cheating take their job seriously, they are like detectives trying to figure out a murder investigation or a mystery. Doing things like using Audacity for checking things in the sounds of the recording, recreating speedruns with slow speed, checking every fricking pixel in the screen with Photoshop etc.
Peri Uluirmak
Peri Uluirmak 2 gün önce
8:37 i think the first one , the one with flipping a coin ten times and getting heads 7 times 9:00 yaaaay
Jordon Lott
Jordon Lott 2 gün önce
Why are there so many dislikes
Muhammad Soleh
Muhammad Soleh Gün önce
and probably because he has no conclusion
Commander_Chop_Stix YT
Probably all the dream stans
itzmattaf777 2 gün önce
GTG Glenn
GTG Glenn 2 gün önce
0:12 wait mat are you there when mr beast is giving away like 25 ps5's
Epic Ocean
Epic Ocean 2 gün önce
I think dream doesn’t fake his speedruns i think dream is super lucky
StrikeYT 19 saatler önce
@Gameslug and when did I say dream didn't cheat?
StrikeYT 19 saatler önce
@Gameslug gosh I didn't expect a slug will be so mean
Muhammad Soleh
Muhammad Soleh Gün önce
he cheated. No more opinions, only facts
Gameslug 2 gün önce
Both of you idiots dream cheated. The data shows that he did.
StrikeYT 2 gün önce
This vid was uploaded 1 month ago and dream proves That he didn't cheat
Big Sheesh
Big Sheesh 2 gün önce
I love how people dislike the video without watching it 🤣
Shubham Saini
Shubham Saini 2 gün önce
Mr beast buy the store again
ohno 2 gün önce
Those of y'all in the comments making fun of the fact how MatPat asked the question, but didn't exactly answer it, please reread the title. "A Final Analysis." Definition of Analysis- (n.) detailed examination of the elements or structure of something. Meaning an explanation or investigation, but not exactly the final answer. So basically you set yourself up by clicking the damn video.
StrikeYT 2 gün önce
Your really smart for a mouse
Mollie Star Forever
Mollie Star Forever 2 gün önce
_K I L L E R • Q U E E N_
Eggsodic buhddersz
Yagsterr 2 gün önce
He did. End of story.
Gameslug 2 gün önce
Lewys Cousins
Lewys Cousins 3 gün önce
On any other channel I wouldn't point this out, but since its Game Theory and I know we like details around here, the exterior of that Tardis from 2:29 is from the 11/12th Doctor's tenure however the interior is from the 9/10th Doctor's run. Just saying!
s1lvDrag0n 3 gün önce
I couldn’t care less if he cheated or not, no matter how you look at it, Dream is still one the best Minecraft players to exist.
StrikeYT 19 saatler önce
And just because He is good at PvP doesn't mean that his the best player in the world dream stan
Bottom Text
Bottom Text Gün önce
This is about integrity. Also dream is average, notice how he never fights any actual pvpers? I could fight a below average player and look like a PvP god too.
Gameslug 2 gün önce
He is not the best Minecraft player. He is good at 1.16 pvp but not the best. He also has average building and redstone skills. Also he is nowhere near the top of 1.8 pvp
Leonard 2 gün önce
Yes, so good he has to cheat.
StrikeYT 2 gün önce
Technoblade: are you sure about that?
Kason Lair
Kason Lair 3 gün önce
100 times and getting 60 heads
Kayla Powers
Kayla Powers 3 gün önce
I'm pretty sure the answer was 1) You CAN'T have an answer especially given the fact both sides can't have conclusive evidence to prove Dream did or didn't cheat and that the experiment itself wasn't infallible so what MatPat had to work with was skewed one way or another. 2) Generally? Why are we speedrunning Minecraft??? Especially now that nether fortresses have become rarer since the recent nether update and that your ability to be fastest are decided by some factors are now up to luck and not skill. That's what I got from the video anyway.
Bottom Text
Bottom Text Gün önce
Imagine being so lucky you could have won the lottery multiple times a day for your entire life but you waste all that luck on Minecraft.
Conner McKinnon
Conner McKinnon 3 gün önce
As an Econometrics Major, I can confirm that this video is a great intro into how statistics can be applied to the real world, and I appreciate it being made
Conner McKinnon
Conner McKinnon 3 gün önce
Sampling Bias, Law of Large Iterations, getting closer to the mean as you increase sample size, these are all fundamental truths to statistics, and you must take these things into consideration or you could end up falsely accusing someone. These numbers show that Dream 99.9999999% cheated - there is no 100%.
Xavier Elwood
Xavier Elwood 3 gün önce
is everyone going to ignor mr beast in the intro
n reddick
n reddick 3 gün önce
i mad
StrikeYT 2 gün önce
Akaash Raghunath
Akaash Raghunath 3 gün önce
11:27 What? W H A T ?
Scxrd Vize
Scxrd Vize 3 gün önce
3 year olds: oh i dont see a red one cause i already pressed it let me press it again Matpat: NOOOOOO
Beetless 3 gün önce
17:51 why no target block :(
Cora at Home
Cora at Home 3 gün önce
spoiler: he... F*ck it. ya gotta watch the video.
Kyle K
Kyle K 3 gün önce
I think that the olympics are scripted as I can’t run as fast as them or jump as high as them
Bottom Text
Bottom Text Gün önce
What are you trying to say?
Tommy Mc
Tommy Mc 3 gün önce
So was it fake or not
StrikeYT 19 saatler önce
@GameslugUmmm Fine Then dream cheated and he just don't want to admit it
Bottom Text
Bottom Text Gün önce
@StrikeYT What do you mean you "like techo more"? You can obviously tell from that statement alone that you're a child. It's like thinking Xbox is better than PS4 or vice versa, they are 2 different things and only children compare them and fight over which is better.
Gameslug 2 gün önce
@StrikeYT you are 100% a dream stan, you are just too embarrassed to admit it. He did cheat.
StrikeYT 2 gün önce
Dream didn't fake it I'm not a dream Stan like at all I personally like techno But Dream didn't fake the speedrun it's just the mods are just dumb
Wheatley 3 gün önce
Yes it was
jbone 3 gün önce
i learned more from this video than a whole year in ap stats
Sidney Wateski
Sidney Wateski 3 gün önce
16:40 no joke the day this video came out I had a guest lecturer come into my college class-- hes the guy who helped make this site....thats really coincidental
Huynh Hong Nhat
Huynh Hong Nhat 3 gün önce
The aback den spontaneously travel because tortellini sicily wonder minus a friendly dragon. furry furtive, available myanmar
StrikeYT 2 gün önce
Nice Spelling bro
Dan David
Dan David 3 gün önce
this video is more like my maths class .
Sandeep Banik
Sandeep Banik 3 gün önce
I know MatPat uses a lot of mathematical methods to back up his theories, but what was the intro (0:00 - 0:52)? Yes, you use mathematical methods to prove your theories but why are you demeaning some other profession. It came out very salty on your part. If you're trying to show that you're smarter than a professor then you have to reconsider your position. Professors are smart and that's why they are at universities. Your videos are becoming more and more pompous. I guess that's the difference between your videos and someone like Veritasium. And for claiming so much about reading 20+ page paper you might want to get your notation and numbers right. The probability of 7 heads out of 10 coin flips = 11.72 % and not 17%. The probability of 60 heads out of 100 coin flips = 1.08 % and not 2.82%. Reference - Leon-Garcia, Alberto. "Probability, statistics, and random processes for electrical engineering." (2017). Chapter 2. You might want to run your other numbers again (for the rest of your video).
CROW TB 3 gün önce
if you see mrbeast in the video its so werid please if you want to find him you will see him in the start with all stuff
Bottom Text
Bottom Text Gün önce
He's a big TRvidr of course he's used as a prop. It's not like Mr.Beast is some tiny TRvidr with a few hundred subscribers
Zaara Ev
Zaara Ev 3 gün önce
So imitating politicians As one Argentine president once said , "I give a NO positive"
Untitled Creator
Untitled Creator 3 gün önce
Dream: *sees that people make these videos* Also Dream: *go’s out of his way to prove that they’re wrong*
StrikeYT 2 gün önce
Ummm matpat didn't said it was fake or real
Untitled Creator
Untitled Creator 3 gün önce
@Wheatley but he di- ok then, whatever. I don’t care.
Wheatley 3 gün önce
He faked it tho
Ridhishree Chowdhury
Um I thought you did a collab with dream?
StrikeYT 2 gün önce
Ummmm so?
MoreYourPops 3 gün önce
Is no one else paying attention that MatPat made a Juice WRLD joke lmao
Markat 3 gün önce
i was skipping most of the video and now he's talking about smash wtf?
OK KO Portland
OK KO Portland 3 gün önce
Gameslug 2 gün önce
StrikeYT 2 gün önce
Ok dream stan
Chillogamerhat 2 gün önce
NightSaniK 2 gün önce
Dream stan
Beetless 3 gün önce
5:07 No one says it like that
August needs to get a life
All these people hating in the commnets because they only know how to hate Dream and never even watched GameTheory
Bottom Text
Bottom Text Gün önce
But he did cheat
Ethan Coleman
Ethan Coleman 3 gün önce
Ahh yes edicuetion
Danny Delaney
Danny Delaney 3 gün önce
The first one
StrikeYT 19 saatler önce
@Bottom Text bro I got a new account are you that dumb?
Bottom Text
Bottom Text Gün önce
@StrikeYT why tf is there a child with a day old account commenting on here
StrikeYT 2 gün önce
Yeah still a month late but still first
XxAnimeBoyxX 3 gün önce
I was hoping Mat to say yes/no then the evidence.... I mean Mat can judge it because we all know it's just a game theory it's not really a true video (I mean ain't this a video all about?)
Cupcake Kitten
Cupcake Kitten 3 gün önce
I usually don’t watch your videos anymore cause of the HOLLOW KNIGHT one... but imma watch this
Isak Lidman
Isak Lidman 3 gün önce
I'm just thinking about Roy Cleveland Sullivan, a park ranger that got struck by lightning 7 times (or acording to him 8 times) when I come across this topic. I'm not the best at this kind of math, but even if you take it in to acount that he worked in conditions where he's much more likely to get struck by lightning than the average person, I seem to remember that acording to statistics there should've never been anyone who would even get close to get struck by lightning as much as him through the history of ever, but yet it happened. And this is without calculating the survivability of getting struck by lightning. So I just can't tell with this kind of issue. But since I like Dream and I don't think that this topic is the most important political debate ever, I've decided to live in bliss and to not hold anything agains anyone since that stresses me out :) I like it when people get along.
Leonard 2 gün önce
A good thing to also take into account was that this occurred over like 30+ years of him working at that park, while Minecraft 1.16 hasn't even been out a full year yet.
SketchBlitz 3 gün önce
I was hoping with the monkeys and typewriters theorem segment, you’d bring up the British scientists to get six zoo monkey and try the experiment out. After 4 weeks the monkeys like typing S, urinated on the typewriters, and one bashed a typewriter into pieces. Look it up
Chi _ laxz
Chi _ laxz 3 gün önce
Maybe they should add fruitberries and Illumina and have them 3 try to finish minecraft first with the same seed
Chi _ laxz
Chi _ laxz 3 gün önce
Hmm dream cheated, i guess I'll go watch techno now.
Chi _ laxz
Chi _ laxz 3 gün önce
I dont know why people is so upset that someone cheat. Well i mean: i think he cheated
Nerd Theory
Nerd Theory 3 gün önce
when u realize that game theory is smarter than your teacher and or your profesor
Zack Fritz
Zack Fritz 3 gün önce
My prop are is 0.00000000000000000000000000000000000001%
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